Our basketball betting expert offers up his three best Sun vs Mystics predictions ahead of their huge WNBA clash this Sunday.
Two of the best teams in the Eastern Conference matchup on Sunday with the Sun vs Mystics at the Mohegan Sun Arena. This is the third meeting between the teams in 2023 after the Connecticut Sun beat the Washington Mystics in back-to-back games in May.
Sun vs Mystics Betting Tips
Connecticut Sun -6.5
Washington Mystics to win the first quarter
Under 166.5 points
Sun To Cover Spread Once Again
The Connecticut side has covered the spread in over half of their games this season which informs our Sun vs Mystics tips from the off. We have scoured several WNBA betting sites to find the value picks for this one.
Their previous wins over the Mystics were by single digits, but they saw off the Seattle Storm with an emphatic 20-point advantage on Thursday night to improve to 13-5 on the season.
Washington has gone just 7-9 against the spread in 2023. Admittedly, they are up in fourth in net rating which makes them amongst the best WNBA tips for this market. This is still a team we expect to hover around .500 for most of the season.
Connecticut is elite on both sides of the ball, ranking behind only the Aces and Liberty in net rating for the season. Washington leans very heavily on their defence and might struggle to score enough points to keep pace with the Sun.
Bet 1: Connecticut Sun -6.5
Mystics Take The First Quarter
While we fancy the Sun to run out victorious on Sunday, we also expect the Mystics to start strongly. Washington has a whopping +30.8 net rating over their last six first quarters, which has been headlined by some stifling defence.
The Sun have been exceptional in the opening period (including holding the Storm to six first-quarter points on Thursday), but much of their success this season can be attributed to their depth. Almost all of their bench players have a positive net rating.
Washington’s bench is much more of a concern. As a result, the second of our Sun vs Mystics predictions envisage the Washington side edging the first quarter and seeing their advantage slip in the second.
Bet 2: Washington Mystics to win the first quarter
Back The Under
The total was set at 166.5 when these teams last matched up. We expect it to be around that number on Sunday. Connecticut has been one of the most profitable teams on the over, but no team has hit the under more than the Mystics.
These are two great defences going head-to-head. The last two meetings went either side of this line by a relatively small margin. While there is plenty of scoring talent on show, the defences appear to be the stronger suits for these two teams.
We’re backing the under in this one after looking at the Sun vs Mystics odds. There should be relatively few easy points with neither team turning it over much of late and not many offensive rebounds expected. This is a personal favourite bet right now.
Bet 3: Under 166.5 points
Sun vs Mystics Odds
Odds correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. Not available yet.
Connecticut Sun to win